Recent performance
7-, 14- and 30-day production compared with season and career baselines.
Methodology
Prospect Pulse explains how trends, confidence labels and source-backed conclusions are produced.
A development signal, not a scouting replacement
The score is designed to summarize organizational momentum. It combines measurable performance and contextual events, while scouting reports remain the primary source for long-term projection.
Age relative to level
Performance is interpreted in the context of developmental age and competition level.
Playing time
Changes in starts, plate appearances, innings and role are treated as development signals.
Organizational movement
Promotions, demotions, assignments and 40-man decisions affect momentum.
Health
Injury status and missed time are included without speculating beyond sourced information.
Ranking movement
Changes across selected ranking services are stored as historical snapshots.
How sure is each rank?
Every model input carries uncertainty, and less evidence means more: a hot month over 60 plate appearances says less than a full season. Prospect Pulse gives each input a margin of error scaled to its sample size (plate appearances, innings pitched, media coverage), re-ranks the full board 1,000 times with that noise added, and reports how often each player stays within three spots of his published rank. Players with thin samples, or bunched closely with neighbours in score, earn lower confidence. High is 75% or more, moderate 50–74%, low under 50%.
Information confidence
Every update carries a label
Official transaction, roster or club communication.
Established reporter or trusted publication with attributable sourcing.
Incomplete or indirect information displayed separately from verified facts.